Fred slightly strengthened Sunday afternoon and continues to move through the Gulf of Mexico along a north-northwest path.
The storm has maximum sustained winds of 45 mph (40 mph previously), according to an advisory issued at 5 p.m. EDT from the National Hurricane Center.
Tropical Storm Fred is forecast to gradually strengthen until it makes landfall near the western Florida panhandle Monday afternoon or evening.
A tropical storm warning continues to be in effect from Navarre to the Wakulla-Jefferson County line. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area within 24 hours, according to the NHC.
A storm surge warning is now in effect along the Florida coast east of Steinhatchee River to Yankeetown.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend 90 miles from center.
The storm is located 235 miles south of Panama City, and is moving north-northwest at 10 mph. A turn to the north is expected early Monday.
On the forecast track, the center of Fred should move across the eastern and northern Gulf of Mexico through Monday then make landfall in the western Florida Panhandle Monday afternoon or night.
Cone of uncertainty: See the latest graphic from the NHC
Satellite images: See latest satellite image from NOAA, for a clearer picture of the storm’s size
Heavy rainfall across portions of Florida, southern Alabama, portions of Georgia, and the western Carolinas could lead to flash, urban, small stream and isolated river flooding impacts.
Swells generated by Fred are expected to reach the coasts of Mississippi, Alabama and the Florida Panhandle on Monday and could causing life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
A tornado or two are possible this afternoon into early Monday along the west coast of Florida and over the Florida Panhandle.
Spaghetti models: Track Tropical Storm Fred here
Latest data on Fred
Here is the latest data on Fred pulled from the National Hurricane Center’s 5 p.m. advisory.
- Location: 235 miles south of Panama City
- Maximum sustained winds: 45 mph
- Movement: North-northwest at 10 mph
- Pressure: 1007 MB (millibars)
- When next advisory will be released: 11 p.m.